Three Points leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Three Points typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Three Points, ~27% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Three Points compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Three Points leans more Republican than 13 of 15 neighbors.
Three Points runs about 11 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Three Points. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Three Points leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Three Points, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Three Points hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the Arizona average of 25%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Three Points, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Three Points looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Three Points own their home, about 19 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Three Points sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Valencia West, AZ D+20
- Tucson Estates, AZ Even
- Drexel Heights, AZ D+23
- Pan Tak, AZ D+51
- Picture Rocks, AZ R+36
- South Tucson, AZ D+44
- Sahuarita, AZ R+7
- Flowing Wells, AZ D+11
- Green Valley, AZ D+3
- Summit, AZ D+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- White Cloud, MI R+39
- Cramerton, NC R+24
- Henniker, NH D+17
- Century, FL R+30
- Purchase, NY D+19
- Cape Neddick, ME D+7
- Tryon, NC R+16
- Chandler, IN R+40
- Pink Hill, NC R+55
- Avondale Estates, GA D+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.