Greene County leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Greene County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Greene County, ~33% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Greene County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Greene County leans more Republican than 13 of 21 neighbors.
Greene County runs about 32 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Greene County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Greene County. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Greene County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Greene County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Greene County votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Greene County runs about 32 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 72% of households in Greene County are family households, above 86% of counties.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Greene County, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Greene County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Greene County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 83% of households in Greene County own their home, compared to around 68% in nearby counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Madison County, VA R+34
- Albemarle County, VA D+24
- Charlottesville City, VA D+60
- Page County, VA R+53
- Orange County, VA R+30
- Fluvanna County, VA R+16
- Rockingham County, VA R+40
- Harrisonburg City, VA D+18
- Culpeper County, VA R+23
- Waynesboro City, VA R+9
Counties with Similar Populations
- Colorado County, TX R+42
- Kewaunee County, WI R+39
- Buchanan County, IA R+36
- Allen County, KY R+64
- Barnwell County, SC R+13
- Dukes County, MA D+41
- Adams County, WA R+31
- Meriwether County, GA R+22
- Hutchinson County, TX R+60
- Henry County, IA R+31
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.