Madison County leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Madison County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Madison County, ~27% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Madison County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Madison County leans more Republican than 18 of 22 neighbors.
Madison County runs about 40 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Madison County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Madison County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Madison County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Madison County votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Madison County runs about 40 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Madison County sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 7%, below 91% of counties). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 71% of households in Madison County are family households, above 85% of counties.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Madison County, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Madison County looks the way it does
Turnout in Madison County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Greene County, VA R+26
- Culpeper County, VA R+23
- Orange County, VA R+30
- Page County, VA R+53
- Rappahannock County, VA R+17
- Albemarle County, VA D+24
- Charlottesville City, VA D+60
- Louisa County, VA R+32
- Rockingham County, VA R+40
- Fauquier County, VA R+19
Counties with Similar Populations
- Newton County, IN R+54
- Morgan County, OH R+55
- White County, IL R+59
- Walthall County, MS R+26
- Zapata County, TX R+7
- Glacier County, MT D+32
- Murray County, OK R+59
- Crockett County, TN R+57
- Washington County, IL R+53
- Winn Parish, LA R+44
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.