Greenlee County leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Greenlee County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Greenlee County, ~14% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Greenlee County compares
Greenlee County runs about 39 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Greenlee County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+34), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Greenlee County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Greenlee County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Greenlee County drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Greenlee County, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Greenlee County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Greenlee County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 49% of households in Greenlee County rent, compared to around 24% in nearby counties. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in Greenlee County have more than one occupant per room, above 86% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Graham County, AZ R+39
- Hidalgo County, NM R+22
- Grant County, NM D+6
- Catron County, NM R+36
- Luna County, NM R+19
- Cochise County, AZ R+20
- Pima County, AZ D+16
- Sierra County, NM R+17
- Gila County, AZ R+27
- Pinal County, AZ R+16
Counties with Similar Populations
- Chattahoochee County, GA R+14
- Wilkes County, GA R+13
- Brewster County, TX R+12
- Iron County, MO R+60
- Linn County, KS R+61
- Benewah County, ID R+60
- Humboldt County, IA R+43
- Yellow Medicine County, MN R+47
- McCormick County, SC R+5
- Brown County, KS R+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.