Luna County leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Luna County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Luna County, ~23% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Luna County compares
Luna County runs about 25 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Luna County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Luna County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Luna County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Luna County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 16% of adults in Luna County hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the New Mexico average of 24%. Luna County runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Luna County, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Luna County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Luna County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 8 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in Luna County report food insecurity, above 98% of counties. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in Luna County have completed high school, below 98% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Grant County, NM D+6
- Dona Ana County, NM D+4
- Hidalgo County, NM R+22
- Sierra County, NM R+17
- El Paso County, TX D+15
- Greenlee County, AZ R+45
- Otero County, NM R+19
- Graham County, AZ R+39
- Catron County, NM R+36
- Socorro County, NM Even
Counties with Similar Populations
- Butts County, GA R+38
- Mason County, WV R+59
- Hardeman County, TN R+14
- Payette County, ID R+57
- Gladwin County, MI R+42
- Barton County, KS R+47
- Pottawatomie County, KS R+46
- Salem City, VA R+21
- Churchill County, NV R+44
- Hardee County, FL R+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.