Greenville is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 77% of adults in Greenville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Greenville, ~37% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Greenville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Greenville leans more Republican than 72 of 106 neighbors.
Greenville runs about 19 points more Republican than Rhode Island as a whole. Rhode Island leans Democratic overall, while Greenville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Greenville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Greenville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Greenville votes against the grain of Rhode Island. Rhode Island leans Democratic overall, while Greenville runs about 19 points more Republican.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Greenville, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Greenville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Greenville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Smithfield, RI Even
- Stillwater, RI Even
- North Scituate, RI R+15
- Johnston, RI R+4
- North Providence, RI D+14
- Saundersville, RI R+19
- Chepachet, RI R+16
- Mapleville, RI R+21
- Lincoln, RI D+5
- Providence, RI D+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Morton, MS R+43
- Ayer, MA D+20
- Stratmoor, CO R+4
- Princess Anne, MD D+32
- Howard City, MI R+42
- Mystic Island, NJ R+32
- Blaine, WA Even
- Kincheloe, MI R+6
- Williamsburg, OH R+59
- Thousand Palms, CA D+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.