New Hope is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 76% of adults in New Hope typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hope, ~17% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hope compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Hope leans more Republican than 65 of 78 neighbors.
New Hope runs about 62 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while New Hope is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why New Hope leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Hope, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New Hope votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while New Hope runs about 62 points more Republican.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; New Hope, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in New Hope looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in New Hope own their home, about 14 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort Defiance, VA R+51
- Knightly, VA R+45
- Piedmont, VA R+57
- Crimora, VA R+54
- Verona, VA R+42
- Grottoes, VA R+51
- Mount Sidney, VA R+45
- Fishersville, VA R+27
- Weyers Cave, VA R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Woods, KS R+80
- Woodman, WI R+42
- Midland, AR R+65
- West Bolton, VT D+12
- Meehan, WI R+23
- Osceola, NC R+40
- Hamilton, MN R+41
- Harford, PA R+55
- Rockwood, WI R+41
- Riverton, LA R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.