Grove Lake is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Grove Lake typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Grove Lake, ~14% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Grove Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Grove Lake leans more Republican than 20 of 36 neighbors.
Grove Lake runs about 59 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Grove Lake is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Grove Lake. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+50), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Grove Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Grove Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Grove Lake votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Grove Lake runs about 59 points more Republican. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Grove Lake fits that profile on both counts.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Grove Lake, MN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Grove Lake looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Grove Lake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sedan, MN R+49
- Westport, MN R+58
- Brooten, MN R+61
- Villard, MN R+51
- Elrosa, MN R+70
- Glenwood, MN R+30
- Terrace, MN R+42
- Sauk Centre, MN R+48
- Long Beach, MN R+33
- Belgrade, MN R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Casa Colorada, NM R+25
- Rock City, AL R+83
- Hutchins, IA R+51
- Hoyes, MD R+61
- Purcell, PA R+77
- Grier City, PA R+44
- Merry Oaks, KY R+65
- Lunenburg, VA R+25
- Menomonie Junction, WI R+25
- Glasgow, IA R+49
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.