Haines City is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Haines City typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Haines City, ~28% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Haines City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Haines City sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 10 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 35 leaning the other way.
Haines City runs about 11 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Haines City. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+16) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Haines City leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Haines City. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Haines City, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Haines City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Haines City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 24%, about 9 points above the Florida average of 15%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Haines City rent, above 86% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 83% of adults in Haines City have completed high school, below 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lake Hamilton, FL R+17
- Dundee, FL R+12
- Lake Alfred, FL R+21
- Holiday Manor, FL R+22
- Loughman, FL R+35
- Davenport, FL R+6
- Cypress Gardens, FL R+34
- Poinciana, FL D+17
- Winter Haven, FL R+13
- Waverly, FL R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Trenton, MI R+7
- Parkersburg, WV R+35
- Menlo Park, CA D+64
- Romeoville, IL D+15
- Levittown, NY R+21
- Perrysburg, OH R+7
- East Stroudsburg, PA D+12
- Monrovia, CA D+27
- Orange, TX R+44
- Catonsville, MD D+34
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.