Mineola is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Mineola typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mineola, ~14% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mineola compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mineola leans more Republican than 4 of 52 neighbors.
Mineola runs about 46 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mineola. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+78) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 64 points.
Why Mineola leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mineola, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mineola votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 28%, modestly below the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Mineola, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Mineola looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mineola is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- West Mineola, TX R+76
- Silver Lake, TX R+79
- Hoard, TX R+76
- Golden, TX R+76
- Hainesville, TX R+72
- Quitman, TX R+70
- Sand Flat, TX R+81
- Mount Sylvan, TX R+72
- Bright Star, TX R+78
- Pruitt, TX R+76
Cities with Similar Populations
- Countryside, VA D+21
- Earlimart, CA D+4
- Union Park, FL D+5
- Warr Acres, OK D+3
- Independence, KS R+36
- Westlake, LA R+58
- Maxton, NC R+11
- Middlefield, OH R+53
- Brewton, AL R+41
- Santa Teresa, NM R+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.