Oraibi is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Oraibi typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oraibi, ~50% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oraibi compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oraibi leans more Democratic than 3 of 11 neighbors.
Oraibi runs about 63 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Oraibi is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Oraibi leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oraibi, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oraibi votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Oraibi runs about 63 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 57% of adults in Oraibi have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Oraibi, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Oraibi looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oraibi is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 17 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kykotsmovi Village, AZ D+59
- Bacavi, AZ D+58
- Hotevilla, AZ D+58
- Shongopovi, AZ D+61
- Toreva, AZ D+66
- Second Mesa, AZ D+68
- Walpi, AZ D+68
- Sichomovi, AZ D+68
- Polacca, AZ D+68
- Sand Springs, AZ D+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- McLemoresville, TN R+63
- West Brattleboro, VT D+42
- Ironton, TX R+57
- Canaseraga, NY R+54
- Hillsdale, MS R+57
- Holland, IA R+52
- Greenfield, MT R+64
- Chokio, MN R+47
- Harvard Hills, IL R+23
- Melvin Village, NH R+3
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.