Hotevilla is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Hotevilla typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hotevilla, ~50% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hotevilla compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hotevilla leans more Democratic than 4 of 11 neighbors.
Hotevilla runs about 63 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Hotevilla is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hotevilla. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+68) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+58), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Hotevilla leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hotevilla, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hotevilla votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Hotevilla runs about 63 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 57% of adults in Hotevilla have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Hotevilla, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hotevilla looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hotevilla is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 17 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bacavi, AZ D+58
- Oraibi, AZ D+58
- Kykotsmovi Village, AZ D+59
- Shongopovi, AZ D+61
- Toreva, AZ D+66
- Second Mesa, AZ D+68
- Sand Springs, AZ D+52
- Walpi, AZ D+68
- Hard Rocks, AZ D+55
- Sichomovi, AZ D+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- McMorran, OH R+68
- Walnut Grove, TN R+78
- Dilltown, PA R+59
- Prater, VA R+68
- Wise Forks, NC R+40
- Denton, KY R+68
- Oldport, MI R+37
- Childress, VA R+55
- South Milford, IN R+55
- Steubenville, IN R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.