Hardaway leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Hardaway typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hardaway, ~27% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hardaway compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hardaway leans more Democratic than 25 of 43 neighbors.
Hardaway runs about 66 points more Democratic than Alabama as a whole. Alabama leans Republican overall, while Hardaway is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hardaway. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+76) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+26), a spread of about 102 points.
Why Hardaway leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hardaway, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 68% of residents in Hardaway are Black or African American, about 44 points above the Alabama average of 24%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 51% of adults in Hardaway have never been married, above 98% of cities. Hardaway runs against the grain of Alabama, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hardaway, AL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Hardaway looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hardaway is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 32%, about 22 points below the Alabama average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 52% of adults in Hardaway report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 61% of adults in Hardaway have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Armstrong, AL D+62
- Union Springs, AL D+53
- Thompson, AL D+38
- Fort Davis, AL D+75
- Perote, AL D+17
- Three Notch, AL D+70
- Bruceville, AL D+6
- Roba, AL D+65
- Inverness, AL R+23
- Hannon, AL D+77
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lynnville, TN R+69
- Dolan Springs, AZ R+42
- Delbarton, WV R+77
- Pennsboro, WV R+69
- Gibraltar, MI R+20
- Jefferson, SD R+52
- Constable, NY R+38
- Kearny, AZ R+35
- Worton, MD R+15
- Rock Port, MO R+60
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.