Hardee County leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Hardee County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hardee County, ~16% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hardee County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Hardee County is the most Republican-leaning.
Hardee County runs about 33 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Hardee County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 44 points.
Why Hardee County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hardee County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Hardee County hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the Florida average of 31%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Hardee County are family households, above 95% of counties.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Hardee County, FL does.
Why turnout in Hardee County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hardee County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 13 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 33% of households in Hardee County rent, above 81% of counties. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in Hardee County have completed high school, below 97% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Highlands County, FL R+33
- DeSoto County, FL R+35
- Polk County, FL R+18
- Manatee County, FL R+15
- Sarasota County, FL R+17
- Charlotte County, FL R+33
- Hillsborough County, FL Even
- Osceola County, FL Even
- Glades County, FL R+47
- Pinellas County, FL R+3
Counties with Similar Populations
- Fannin County, GA R+62
- Washington County, FL R+61
- Adair County, MO R+21
- Salem City, VA R+21
- Pottawatomie County, KS R+46
- Lyon County, MN R+28
- Gladwin County, MI R+42
- Payette County, ID R+57
- Todd County, MN R+50
- Iosco County, MI R+28
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.