Harnell Park leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Harnell Park typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Harnell Park, ~32% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Harnell Park compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Harnell Park leans more Republican than 26 of 30 neighbors.
Harnell Park runs about 23 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Harnell Park is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Harnell Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Harnell Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Harnell Park votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Harnell Park runs about 23 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Harnell Park are family households, above 81% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Harnell Park, MN sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Harnell Park looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Harnell Park is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Saginaw, MN R+18
- Four Corners, MN R+12
- Burnett, MN R+18
- Hermantown, MN D+4
- Shaw, MN R+6
- Culver, MN R+17
- Canyon, MN R+9
- Esko, MN R+16
- Proctor, MN D+5
- Alborn, MN R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Estelline, SD R+52
- La Grulla, TX R+6
- Bomoseen, VT R+10
- Griggsville, IL R+62
- Maple Hill, KS R+54
- Harrisville, NY R+49
- Leland, MI R+7
- Laconia, TN R+43
- Lukachukai, AZ D+64
- Reeds, MO R+70
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.