Canyon leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Canyon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Canyon, ~31% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Canyon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Canyon leans more Republican than 11 of 28 neighbors.
Canyon runs about 14 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Canyon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Canyon. The southwest side is the most split-leaning (R+18) and the east side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Canyon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Canyon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Canyon live in densely developed areas, about 21 points below the Minnesota average of 23%. Canyon runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Canyon, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Canyon looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Canyon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Canyon own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Canyon have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Alborn, MN R+17
- Payne, MN R+11
- Prosit, MN R+17
- Culver, MN R+17
- Burnett, MN R+18
- Shaw, MN R+6
- Cotton, MN R+4
- Saginaw, MN R+18
- Harnell Park, MN R+19
- Four Corners, MN R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Moe, SD R+52
- South Buffalo, KY R+63
- Franklin Falls, NY D+11
- Two Egg, FL R+53
- Vienna, SD R+64
- Lissie, TX R+31
- New Harmony, MO R+69
- Dunbar, IA R+37
- La Clede, IL R+70
- Burton, WV R+67
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.