Hauula leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Hauula typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hauula, ~30% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hauula compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hauula leans more Democratic than 17 of 35 neighbors.
Hauula runs about 12 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hauula. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+18) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Hauula leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hauula, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 36% of adults in Hauula hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in Hauula have never been married, above 86% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hauula, HI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hauula looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 49% of households in Hauula rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in Hauula report food insecurity, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Laie, HI D+28
- Kahana, HI D+19
- Kaaawa, HI D+19
- Kahuku, HI D+7
- Waikane, HI D+13
- Whitmore Village, HI D+14
- Kawela Bay, HI Even
- Wahiawa, HI D+11
- Haleiwa, HI D+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Marietta, SC R+65
- Barrington Hills, IL Even
- Big Sandy, TX R+69
- Comfort, TX R+43
- Miami Heights, OH R+50
- French Island, WI R+2
- Robesonia, PA R+35
- Dilworth, MN R+7
- Geneva, FL R+45
- Washington, GA Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.