Laie, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Laie

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Laie leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.

 

About 45% of adults in Laie typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Laie, ~29% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Laie compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Laie is the most Democratic-leaning.

Laie runs about 5 points more Democratic than Hawaii as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Laie. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+30) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 23 points.

Why Laie leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Laie, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in Laie hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in Laie have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Laie, HI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Laie looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 55% of households in Laie rent, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Laie report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.