Kaaawa leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Kaaawa typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kaaawa, ~35% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kaaawa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kaaawa leans more Democratic than 26 of 35 neighbors.
Kaaawa runs about 4 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Why Kaaawa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kaaawa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 47% of adults in Kaaawa hold a bachelor's degree, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Kaaawa, HI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Kaaawa looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 7% of homes in Kaaawa have more than one occupant per room, above 92% of cities. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Kaaawa sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 30% of households in Kaaawa rent, compared to around 50% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kahana, HI D+19
- Waikane, HI D+13
- Hauula, HI D+11
- Laie, HI D+28
- Kaneohe, HI D+21
- Whitmore Village, HI D+14
- Kaneohe Station, HI Even
- Kaneohe Bay, HI D+3
- Kahuku, HI D+7
- Wahiawa, HI D+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alexis, NC R+57
- South Beach, OR D+26
- Center Strafford, NH R+20
- Newport Center, VT R+28
- China, ME R+19
- Uneedus, LA R+63
- Volcano, CA R+30
- St. Inigoes, MD R+14
- Jonesburg, MO R+59
- Theriot, LA R+79
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.