Hayden is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Hayden typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hayden, ~10% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hayden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hayden leans more Republican than 2 of 5 neighbors.
Hayden runs about 74 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Hayden is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hayden. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Hayden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hayden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hayden votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Hayden runs about 74 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Hayden sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 1%, below 97% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hayden, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hayden looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hayden is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Amistad, NM R+69
- Rosebud, NM R+43
- Sedan, NM R+70
- Bueyeros, NM R+48
- Romero, TX R+87
- Middle Water, TX R+86
- Nara Visa, NM R+70
- Texline, TX R+81
- Clayton, NM R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gregorytown, NY R+35
- Bray, CA R+22
- Whitney, MS D+22
- Oldtown, IN R+44
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.