Herrick Grove, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Herrick Grove

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Herrick Grove leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.

 

About 81% of adults in Herrick Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Herrick Grove, ~29% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Herrick Grove compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Herrick Grove leans more Republican than 22 of 61 neighbors.

Herrick Grove runs about 40 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Herrick Grove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Herrick Grove. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Herrick Grove leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Herrick Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Herrick Grove votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Herrick Grove runs about 40 points more Republican.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Herrick Grove, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Herrick Grove looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Herrick Grove is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.