Millen Bay leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Millen Bay typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Millen Bay, ~24% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Millen Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Millen Bay leans more Republican than 8 of 42 neighbors.
Millen Bay runs about 29 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Millen Bay is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Millen Bay. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+29) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Millen Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Millen Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Millen Bay votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Millen Bay runs about 29 points more Republican.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with low high-school-completion share tend to turn out at a lower rate; Millen Bay, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Millen Bay looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 34% of households in Millen Bay rent, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Frontenac, NY R+32
- Rosiere, NY R+16
- Clayton, NY R+12
- Cape Vincent, NY R+17
- Herrick Grove, NY R+28
- Depauville, NY R+40
- Chaumont, NY R+20
- Fishers Landing, NY R+35
- Three Mile Bay, NY R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Robinson, PA R+57
- Secor, IL R+54
- Coldwater, KS R+69
- Steele, ND R+59
- Syenite, MO R+62
- Kendall Mills, NY R+42
- Iron Post, OK R+66
- Trosper, KY R+76
- Gans, OK R+68
- Stokes, NC R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.