Hillcrest leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Hillcrest typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hillcrest, ~30% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hillcrest compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Hillcrest leans more Democratic than 13 of 21 neighbors.
Hillcrest runs about 37 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Hillcrest is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Hillcrest. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+35) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Hillcrest leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hillcrest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hillcrest votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Hillcrest runs about 37 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hillcrest, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Hillcrest looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hillcrest is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 13 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Lakeshore, Jacksonville, FL R+14
- Hyde Park, Jacksonville, FL D+31
- Murray Hill, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Cedar Hills Estates, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Avondale, Jacksonville, FL D+21
- Rolling Hills, Jacksonville, FL R+20
- Confederate Point, Jacksonville, FL D+20
- Lackawanna, Jacksonville, FL D+61
- Normandy Manor, Jacksonville, FL D+3
- Woodstock, Jacksonville, FL D+56
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Shoreline West, Mountain View, CA D+54
- Bellmont Hillsboro, Nashville, TN D+51
- Fircrest, Vancouver, WA D+21
- Samuel A Rothermel, Oak Park, IL D+73
- Townsend-Raitt, Santa Ana, CA D+34
- South Beach, Fort Pierce, FL R+24
- Rmma, Austin, TX D+61
- Downtown Fort Worth, Fort Worth, TX D+20
- middletown, Bethlehem, PA Even
- Cabbage Town, Atlanta, GA D+69
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.