Confederate Point, Jacksonville, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Confederate Point

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Confederate Point leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.

 

About 59% of adults in Confederate Point typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Confederate Point, ~35% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Confederate Point compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Confederate Point leans more Democratic than 15 of 24 neighbors.

Confederate Point runs about 33 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Confederate Point is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Confederate Point. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+49) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 65 points.

Why Confederate Point leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Confederate Point, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 49% of residents in Confederate Point are Black or African American, about 36 points above the Florida average of 13%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in Confederate Point have never been married, above 86% of neighborhoods. Confederate Point runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Confederate Point, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Confederate Point looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Confederate Point is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 8 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 63% of households in Confederate Point rent, compared to around 47% in nearby neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.