Cedar Hills Estates, Jacksonville, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Cedar Hills Estates

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Cedar Hills Estates leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.

 

About 52% of adults in Cedar Hills Estates typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cedar Hills Estates, ~29% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Cedar Hills Estates compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Cedar Hills Estates leans more Democratic than 7 of 24 neighbors.

Cedar Hills Estates runs about 23 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Cedar Hills Estates is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Cedar Hills Estates. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+26) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 41 points.

Why Cedar Hills Estates leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cedar Hills Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Cedar Hills Estates votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Cedar Hills Estates runs about 23 points more Democratic.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Cedar Hills Estates, Jacksonville, FL sits above the national average on this measure.

Why turnout in Cedar Hills Estates looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cedar Hills Estates is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 10 points below the Florida average of 56%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.