Holden is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Holden typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holden, ~20% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Holden leans more Republican than 15 of 53 neighbors.
Holden runs about 32 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Holden. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+41), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Holden leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holden, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Holden votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 24%, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Holden, MO sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Holden looks the way it does
Turnout in Holden sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kingsville, MO R+58
- Medford, MO R+63
- Magnolia, MO R+62
- Centerview, MO R+52
- Pittsville, MO R+60
- Strasburg, MO R+53
- La Tour, MO R+62
- Columbus, MO R+60
- Chapel Hill, MO R+57
Cities with Similar Populations
- Landing, NJ R+14
- Fountain Hill, PA D+18
- Tiffin, IA D+14
- Simpsonville, KY R+32
- Moon Lake, FL R+46
- Falmouth, KY R+59
- Gardendale, TX R+75
- East Prairie, MO R+56
- Harmony, NC R+59
- Gibbstown, NJ R+16
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.