Magnolia is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Magnolia typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Magnolia, ~12% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Magnolia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Magnolia leans more Republican than 28 of 50 neighbors.
Magnolia runs about 43 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Magnolia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Magnolia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Magnolia live in densely developed areas, about 16 points below the Missouri average of 22%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Magnolia are family households, above 81% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Magnolia, MO sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Magnolia looks the way it does
Turnout in Magnolia sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Medford, MO R+63
- Old Chilhowee, MO R+64
- Chilhowee, MO R+64
- Holden, MO R+50
- Blairstown, MO R+66
- Centerview, MO R+52
- Norris, MO R+66
- Post Oak, MO R+62
- La Tour, MO R+62
- Warrensburg, MO R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Falmouth, PA R+50
- Davenport, NE R+68
- Mills Orchard, CA R+46
- Miller, OK R+73
- Taloga, OK R+81
- Salem, ID R+63
- Deerwalk, WV R+62
- Bartley, NE R+71
- Tea, MO R+63
- Wilcox, NE R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.