Moon Lake leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Moon Lake typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moon Lake, ~15% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moon Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Moon Lake leans more Republican than 48 of 50 neighbors.
Moon Lake runs about 33 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Moon Lake. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+39), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Moon Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moon Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Moon Lake votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 35%, well below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Moon Lake sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, below 93% of cities).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Moon Lake, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Moon Lake looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Moon Lake is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 14 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 30% of households in Moon Lake rent, above 83% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Moon Lake have completed high school, below 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bayonet Point, FL R+24
- Jasmine Estates, FL R+21
- Hudson, FL R+37
- New Port Richey East, FL R+27
- New Port Richey, FL R+27
- Port Richey, FL R+27
- Shady Hills, FL R+48
- Odessa, FL R+23
- Elfers, FL R+26
- Land O' Lakes, FL R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Holden, MO R+50
- Fountain Hill, PA D+18
- Landing, NJ R+14
- Tiffin, IA D+14
- South Sanford, ME R+18
- Falmouth, KY R+59
- Simpsonville, KY R+32
- Gardendale, TX R+75
- Germantown Hills, IL R+26
- Hurlock, MD R+23
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.