Holiday Valley leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Holiday Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holiday Valley, ~28% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holiday Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Holiday Valley leans more Republican than 26 of 96 neighbors.
Holiday Valley runs about 23 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Holiday Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holiday Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Holiday Valley votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 20%, modestly below the Ohio average of 34%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Holiday Valley, OH sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Holiday Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Holiday Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Holiday Valley own their home, compared to around 73% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Holiday Valley have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Enon, OH R+35
- Fairborn, OH R+11
- Medway, OH R+43
- Yellow Springs, OH D+41
- Donnelsville, OH R+48
- Snyderville, OH R+48
- Wright-Patterson AFB, OH R+4
- Hustead, OH R+44
- Sunnyland, OH R+39
- New Carlisle, OH R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Palestine, OH R+69
- Port Haywood, VA R+46
- Weston, PA R+38
- Montgomery Creek, CA R+37
- Bradley, FL R+28
- West Chester, IA R+45
- Mertens, TX R+70
- Trapper Creek, AK R+34
- Fairplay, PA R+43
- New Blaine, AR R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.