Duclay Forest leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Duclay Forest typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Duclay Forest, ~37% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Duclay Forest compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Duclay Forest is the most Democratic-leaning.
Duclay Forest runs about 45 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Duclay Forest is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Duclay Forest. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+23), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Duclay Forest leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Duclay Forest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Duclay Forest votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Duclay Forest runs about 45 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in Duclay Forest have never been married, above 86% of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Duclay Forest, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Duclay Forest looks the way it does
Turnout in Duclay Forest sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Duclay, Jacksonville, FL D+17
- Ortega Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+11
- Wesconnett, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Oak Hill, Jacksonville, FL D+31
- Ortega Farms, Jacksonville, FL D+11
- Argyle Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+5
- McGirts Creek, Jacksonville, FL D+19
- Confederate Point, Jacksonville, FL D+20
- Cedar Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+17
- Cedar Hills Estates, Jacksonville, FL D+10
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Midway Place, Bryan, TX D+31
- Andalusia, Bensalem, PA D+6
- Point Richmond, Richmond, CA D+66
- Highland Park, Aurora, CO D+36
- White Caps, Kenosha, WI D+4
- East Deering, Portland, ME D+66
- Town of Blake, South Daytona, FL R+13
- Historic Uptown, St. Petersburg, FL D+34
- Holly, Austin, TX D+62
- Central Eastside, Erie, PA D+44
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.