Independence County is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Independence County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Independence County, ~13% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Independence County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Independence County leans more Republican than 3 of 10 neighbors.
Independence County runs about 26 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Independence County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+48), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Independence County leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Independence County. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Independence County, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Independence County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Independence County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Jackson County, AR R+48
- Cleburne County, AR R+63
- Sharp County, AR R+62
- Stone County, AR R+63
- Izard County, AR R+65
- White County, AR R+56
- Lawrence County, AR R+65
- Woodruff County, AR R+40
- Fulton County, AR R+64
- Van Buren County, AR R+63
Counties with Similar Populations
- Montgomery County, IN R+44
- Lawrence County, MO R+60
- Cass County, IN R+38
- Oneida County, WI R+18
- Scott County, MO R+43
- Jasper County, IA R+28
- Pontotoc County, OK R+44
- Franklin County, IL R+52
- Brown County, TX R+58
- Marion County, IL R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.