Island Pond leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 74% of adults in Island Pond typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Island Pond, ~30% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Island Pond compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Island Pond leans more Republican than 16 of 54 neighbors.
Island Pond runs about 52 points more Republican than Vermont as a whole. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Island Pond is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Island Pond leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Island Pond, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Island Pond votes against the grain of Vermont. Vermont leans Democratic overall, while Island Pond runs about 52 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Island Pond, VT sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Island Pond looks the way it does
Turnout in Island Pond sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Charleston, VT R+32
- Morgan, VT R+30
- Westmore, VT R+35
- Morgan Center, VT R+32
- West Charleston, VT R+34
- West Burke, VT R+11
- East Haven, VT R+38
- Bloomfield, VT R+27
- Sutton, VT R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fordoche, LA R+64
- Farmington, IA R+53
- Crossville, IL R+68
- Wilbur Park, MO D+11
- Fair Bluff, NC Even
- Ousley, GA R+38
- Paxton, TX R+77
- West Chesterfield, NH D+5
- Chauncey, OH D+8
- Edgecomb, ME D+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.