Lawrence County is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Lawrence County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrence County, ~10% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrence County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Lawrence County leans more Republican than 17 of 19 neighbors.
Lawrence County runs about 37 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Lawrence County. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+76) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+56), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Lawrence County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawrence County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Lawrence County, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 5 points below the Kentucky average of 19%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 83% of residents in Lawrence County drive to work alone, above 88% of counties.
Never-married share and voter turnout
Places with a low never-married share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lawrence County, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lawrence County looks the way it does
Turnout in Lawrence County sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Wayne County, WV R+55
- Johnson County, KY R+66
- Martin County, KY R+74
- Elliott County, KY R+57
- Boyd County, KY R+38
- Carter County, KY R+61
- Cabell County, WV R+19
- Lawrence County, OH R+50
- Magoffin County, KY R+67
- Greenup County, KY R+52
Counties with Similar Populations
- Brooks County, GA R+23
- Hill County, MT R+23
- Fayette County, AL R+68
- Dade County, GA R+64
- Atchison County, KS R+34
- Wayne County, TN R+71
- Bayfield County, WI D+6
- Jasper County, MS D+2
- Lawrence County, AR R+65
- Alamosa County, CO R+3
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.