Julington Creek leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Julington Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Julington Creek, ~29% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Julington Creek compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Julington Creek leans more Republican than 8 of 9 neighbors.
Julington Creek runs about 22 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Julington Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Julington Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Julington Creek sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 86% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the Florida average of 60%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 87% of households in Julington Creek are family households, above 94% of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Julington Creek, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Julington Creek looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Julington Creek is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Julington Creek own their home, compared to around 65% in nearby neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Loretto, Jacksonville, FL R+24
- Mandarin, Jacksonville, FL R+38
- Southwood, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Mandarin Station-Losco, Jacksonville, FL R+24
- Arrowhead, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Greenland, Jacksonville, FL R+21
- Sunbeam, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Del Rio, Jacksonville, FL R+20
- Craven, Jacksonville, FL R+3
- Deercreek, Jacksonville, FL R+16
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bluemont, Arlington, VA D+60
- Andersonville, Chicago, IL D+84
- Downtown Indianapolis, Indianapolis, IN D+54
- Starmount Forest-Charlotte, Charlotte, NC D+40
- Elmwood Park, Detroit, MI D+88
- Downtown Modesto, Modesto, CA D+18
- Riverside, Wichita, KS R+13
- Melrose, Nashville, TN D+41
- Overlook, Portland, OR D+83
- Inglewood-Riverwood, Nashville, TN D+24
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.