Arrowhead leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Arrowhead typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arrowhead, ~25% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arrowhead compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arrowhead leans more Republican than 9 of 16 neighbors.
Politically, Arrowhead sits close to the rest of Florida.
Why Arrowhead leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Arrowhead. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a high adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a lower rate; Arrowhead, Jacksonville, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in Arrowhead looks the way it does
Turnout in Arrowhead sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Southwood, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Sunbeam, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Loretto, Jacksonville, FL R+24
- Craven, Jacksonville, FL R+3
- Mandarin Station-Losco, Jacksonville, FL R+24
- Brierwood, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Goodby's Creek, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Julington Creek, Jacksonville, FL R+35
- Mandarin, Jacksonville, FL R+38
- San Jose Forest, Jacksonville, FL R+23
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Pleasant Acres, New Milford, NJ Even
- Pioneer Park, Des Moines, IA D+22
- Babcock, Buffalo, NY D+10
- Cedar-Isles-Dean, Minneapolis, MN D+65
- Wilmington Historic District, Wilmington, OH R+27
- Merriwood, Oakland, CA D+64
- Bardonia, West Nyack, NY R+7
- Seven Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+28
- New Village, New River, AZ R+30
- Fairfield, Erie, PA R+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.