Kaisertown leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Kaisertown typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kaisertown, ~29% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kaisertown compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Kaisertown is the least Democratic-leaning.
Kaisertown runs about 6 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Why Kaisertown leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Kaisertown. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Kaisertown, Buffalo, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Kaisertown looks the way it does
Turnout in Kaisertown sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Russell Woods, Detroit, MI D+87
- East Village Oxnard, Oxnard, CA D+24
- Cazenovia Park, Buffalo, NY D+12
- Marieville, Providence, RI D+12
- Laurelhurst, Seattle, WA D+70
- Sandtown-Winchester, Baltimore, MD D+87
- Piqua Historic District, Piqua, OH R+38
- North Albany, Albany, OR D+15
- Hikes Point, Louisville, KY D+15
- Southwest, San Antonio, TX D+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.