Triangle leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Triangle typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Triangle, ~28% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Triangle compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Triangle leans more Democratic than 5 of 23 neighbors.
Politically, Triangle sits close to the rest of New York.
Why Triangle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Triangle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 51% of adults in Triangle have never been married, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 29%.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Triangle, Buffalo, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Triangle looks the way it does
Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Triangle have completed high school, below 75% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Hallsville, Manchester, NH D+21
- Cimarron, Rochester, MN D+25
- Newell South, Charlotte, NC D+44
- West Hills, Huntington, NY R+4
- Downtown Ashtabula, Ashtabula, OH Even
- Turtle Ridge, Irvine, CA R+6
- Parkside, Camden, NJ D+79
- U of O Campus, Eugene, OR D+74
- Alessandro, San Bernardino, CA D+29
- Cedar Hills Estates, Jacksonville, FL D+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.