Kensington is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Kensington typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kensington, ~42% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kensington compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kensington sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 141 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 140 leaning the other way.
Kensington runs about 11 points more Republican than New York as a whole.
Why Kensington leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Kensington. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Kensington, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Kensington looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Kensington is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and more than 99% of households in Kensington own their home, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Kensington have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Great Neck, NY R+19
- Great Neck Plaza, NY D+21
- Thomaston, NY D+17
- Russell Gardens, NY D+22
- Great Neck Estates, NY R+38
- Plandome Heights, NY R+8
- Saddle Rock, NY R+66
- Lake Success, NY D+11
- Plandome, NY R+17
- Manhasset, NY Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rutherford, CA D+39
- Ontario, WI R+26
- Newington, GA R+34
- Rollingstone, MN R+35
- Cavines, TX R+76
- Lorenzo, TX R+55
- Patuxent River, MD D+3
- Tumtum, WA R+46
- Ringling, OK R+72
- Jeddo, NY R+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.