Ketchikan is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 62% of adults in Ketchikan typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ketchikan, ~31% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ketchikan compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ketchikan sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 1 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 2 leaning the other way.
Ketchikan runs about 12 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ketchikan. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+14) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 46 points.
Why Ketchikan leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Ketchikan. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a low adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Ketchikan, AK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in Ketchikan looks the way it does
Turnout in Ketchikan sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Saxman, AK R+11
- Mud Bay, AK R+25
- Metlakatla, AK Even
- Meyers Chuck, AK R+20
- Thorne Bay, AK R+39
- Hydaburg, AK R+3
- Klawock, AK R+13
- Craig, AK R+33
- Naukati Bay, AK R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clay, NY Even
- Mattawan, MI R+15
- Pikeville, NC R+39
- College, AK Even
- Farmingdale, NY R+15
- Clearfield, PA R+40
- Pearl River, LA R+52
- Chelsea, MI D+17
- Lanett, AL D+3
- Monticello, AR R+21
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.