Kettleman City is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 14% of adults in Kettleman City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kettleman City, ~7% vote Democratic, ~7% Republican, and ~86% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kettleman City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kettleman City leans more Republican than 4 of 9 neighbors.
Kettleman City runs about 24 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Kettleman City is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Kettleman City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kettleman City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kettleman City votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Kettleman City runs about 24 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Kettleman City, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kettleman City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kettleman City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 18 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 84% of households in Kettleman City rent, compared to around 58% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 43% of adults in Kettleman City report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Avenal, CA D+4
- Stratford, CA Even
- Huron, CA D+16
- Turk, CA R+36
- Lemoore Station, CA R+22
- Lemoore Naval Air Station, CA R+37
- Lemoore, CA R+15
- Corcoran, CA D+10
- Coalinga, CA R+14
- Armona, CA R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vilano Beach, FL R+27
- Atlantic Beach, NC R+31
- Floral, AR R+70
- Prewitt, NM D+24
- Milan, GA R+67
- Oaktown, IN R+59
- Monterey, LA R+87
- Eldridge, CA D+44
- Mindoro, WI R+27
- Sodaville, OR R+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.