Kingsville leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Kingsville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kingsville, ~30% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kingsville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kingsville leans more Republican than 96 of 121 neighbors.
Kingsville runs about 60 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Kingsville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kingsville. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Kingsville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kingsville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kingsville votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 26%, well below the Maryland average of 43%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Kingsville runs against the grain of Maryland, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Kingsville, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Kingsville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Kingsville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Kingsville own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Upper Falls, MD R+39
- Pleasant Hills, MD R+17
- Joppa, MD R+23
- Joppatowne, MD D+5
- Hydes, MD R+26
- White Marsh, MD D+8
- Perry Hall, MD D+6
- Glen Arm, MD R+16
- Baldwin, MD R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Soperton, GA R+28
- Leland, MS D+44
- Mackinaw, IL R+46
- Lakebay, WA D+3
- Fabens, TX D+10
- Abbottstown, PA R+48
- Manson, WA R+23
- Putney, VT D+39
- Old Westbury, NY Even
- Harrisburg, OR R+49
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.