Kinney County leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Kinney County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kinney County, ~20% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kinney County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Kinney County leans more Republican than 3 of 5 neighbors.
Kinney County runs about 19 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Kinney County. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Kinney County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kinney County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in Kinney County hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Kinney County, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kinney County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kinney County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Kinney County have completed high school, below 90% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Val Verde County, TX R+12
- Uvalde County, TX R+23
- Maverick County, TX R+8
- Real County, TX R+64
- Edwards County, TX R+42
- Zavala County, TX D+4
- Dimmit County, TX R+4
- Frio County, TX R+13
- Bandera County, TX R+59
- Sutton County, TX R+46
Counties with Similar Populations
- Woodson County, KS R+55
- Hand County, SD R+62
- Shackelford County, TX R+74
- Crockett County, TX R+39
- Harlan County, NE R+69
- Lipscomb County, TX R+84
- Hudspeth County, TX R+45
- Fallon County, MT R+71
- Sierra County, CA R+19
- Nelson County, ND R+43
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.