Knik leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 55% of adults in Knik typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Knik, ~17% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Knik compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Knik leans more Republican than 14 of 16 neighbors.
Knik runs about 27 points more Republican than Alaska as a whole.
Why Knik leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Knik, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in Knik hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Alaska average of 20%.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Knik, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Knik looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 10% of homes in Knik have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Knik have completed high school, below 76% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Big Lake, AK R+39
- Knik-Fairview, AK R+40
- Meadow Lakes, AK R+41
- Houston, AK R+45
- Chugiak, AK R+5
- Tanaina, AK R+32
- Wasilla, AK R+25
- Eagle River, AK D+9
- Peters Creek, AK R+10
- Lakes, AK R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Roslyn Estates, NY D+4
- Deer Isle, ME D+3
- Denver, IN R+63
- Neola, IA R+44
- Kossuth, MS R+83
- West Point, AL R+83
- Bingen, WA D+18
- Rosedale, MS D+67
- Scenery Hill, PA R+44
- Meadville, MS R+38
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.