La Grange leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 67% of adults in La Grange typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in La Grange, ~18% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How La Grange compares
Among cities within 25 miles, La Grange leans more Republican than 29 of 32 neighbors.
La Grange runs about 65 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while La Grange is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within La Grange. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+39), a spread of about 18 points.
Why La Grange leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for La Grange, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
La Grange votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while La Grange runs about 65 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and La Grange sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 90% of cities).
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; La Grange, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in La Grange looks the way it does
Turnout in La Grange sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Moccasin, CA R+41
- Lake Don Pedro, CA R+37
- Merced Falls, CA R+41
- Coulterville, CA R+34
- Big Oak Flat, CA R+23
- Hornitos, CA R+5
- Chinese Camp, CA R+49
- Snelling, CA R+47
- Greeley Hill, CA R+34
- Pine Mountain Lake, CA R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gerald, MO R+62
- Lyndon Station, WI R+34
- New Milford, PA R+49
- Westworth Village, TX R+27
- Quanah, TX R+58
- Casselton, ND R+41
- Lake View, AL R+63
- Elliston, VA R+40
- Newberry, MI R+22
- Lake Success, NY D+11
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.