Greeley Hill leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Greeley Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Greeley Hill, ~26% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Greeley Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Greeley Hill leans more Republican than 27 of 33 neighbors.
Greeley Hill runs about 54 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Greeley Hill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Greeley Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Greeley Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Greeley Hill live in densely developed areas, about 54 points below the California average of 58%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Greeley Hill fits that profile on both counts. Greeley Hill runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Greeley Hill, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Greeley Hill looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Greeley Hill own their home, about 28 points above the California average of 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Groveland, CA R+20
- Coulterville, CA R+34
- Big Oak Flat, CA R+23
- Pine Mountain Lake, CA R+10
- Moccasin, CA R+41
- Lake Don Pedro, CA R+37
- Hornitos, CA R+5
- La Grange, CA R+45
- Sugar Pine, CA R+15
- Incline, CA R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Parkland, OK R+69
- Pottersville, NJ R+10
- Prairie Home, MO R+60
- Mulberry, TN R+73
- Rocky Grove, TN R+69
- Rome Center, MI R+47
- Dublin, NC R+38
- Cinebar, WA R+43
- Murray Town, NC R+27
- Falcon Heights, OR R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.