Hornitos is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Hornitos typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hornitos, ~30% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hornitos compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hornitos leans more Republican than 4 of 26 neighbors.
Hornitos runs about 25 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Hornitos is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hornitos. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+26) and the east side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Hornitos leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hornitos, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hornitos votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Hornitos runs about 25 points more Republican.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Hornitos, CA does.
Why turnout in Hornitos looks the way it does
Turnout in Hornitos sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Merced Falls, CA R+41
- Lake Don Pedro, CA R+37
- Mount Bullion, CA R+14
- Catheys Valley, CA R+29
- Coulterville, CA R+34
- La Grange, CA R+45
- Moccasin, CA R+41
- Midpines, CA D+7
- Greeley Hill, CA R+34
- Snelling, CA R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Metasville, GA R+49
- Merrillsville, NY R+34
- Tyee, OR R+31
- Devils Tower, WY R+76
- New Hope, NY R+32
- Stotts Crossroads, NC R+51
- New Harmony, MS R+74
- East Ararat, PA R+41
- East Hickory, PA R+46
- Rockland, DE D+22
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.