Lake of the Woods leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Lake of the Woods typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake of the Woods, ~43% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~-2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake of the Woods compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake of the Woods leans more Republican than 9 of 78 neighbors.
Lake of the Woods runs about 22 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Lake of the Woods is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lake of the Woods leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake of the Woods, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lake of the Woods votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 57%, far above the Virginia average of 26%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Lake of the Woods runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lake of the Woods, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lake of the Woods looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lake of the Woods is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Lake of the Woods own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Lake of the Woods have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Locust Grove, VA R+25
- Wilderness, VA R+30
- Indian Town, VA R+38
- Richardsville, VA R+48
- Lignum, VA R+45
- Parker, VA R+35
- Burr Hill, VA R+50
- Gold Dale, VA R+36
- Brockroad, VA R+29
- Todds Tavern, VA R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Centre, AL R+70
- Floral City, FL R+53
- Odenville, AL R+71
- Keithville, LA R+45
- Buhl, ID R+56
- Lodi, WI R+9
- Dunn Loring, VA D+40
- Demorest, GA R+60
- Strafford, MO R+56
- Caldwell, OH R+48
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.