Todds Tavern leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Todds Tavern typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Todds Tavern, ~30% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Todds Tavern compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Todds Tavern leans more Republican than 37 of 72 neighbors.
Todds Tavern runs about 37 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Todds Tavern is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Todds Tavern leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Todds Tavern, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Todds Tavern votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Todds Tavern runs about 37 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Todds Tavern are family households, above 84% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Todds Tavern, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Todds Tavern looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Todds Tavern is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Todds Tavern own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Spotsylvania, VA R+23
- Brockroad, VA R+29
- Parker, VA R+35
- Spotsylvania Courthouse, VA R+32
- Gold Dale, VA R+36
- Mine Run, VA R+39
- Wilderness, VA R+30
- Lake of the Woods, VA R+17
- Locust Grove, VA R+25
- Tatum, VA R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jeff Davis, MS R+37
- Cottonwood Falls, KS R+40
- Big Sandy, MT R+23
- Newaukum, WA R+26
- Walkerton, VA R+36
- Annawan, IL R+37
- Thornville, MI R+37
- Thornton, TX R+78
- Lester, AL R+80
- Gem Village, CO R+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.