Lake Valley leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Lake Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Valley, ~25% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake Valley leans more Democratic than 1 of 3 neighbors.
Politically, Lake Valley sits close to the rest of New Mexico.
Why Lake Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 63% of adults in Lake Valley have never been married, far above similar-sized cities (around 30%).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lake Valley, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Lake Valley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lake Valley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 14 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 45% of adults in Lake Valley report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 64% of adults in Lake Valley have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- White Rock, NM D+11
- Nageezi, NM D+6
- Hospah, NM D+42
- Standing Rock, NM D+42
- Newcomb, NM D+35
- Pueblo Pintado, NM D+24
- Crownpoint, NM D+39
- Sheep Springs, NM D+32
- Seven Lakes, NM D+29
- Brimhall, NM D+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yeomans, GA R+6
- Allison, TX R+80
- Youngs Creek, IN R+52
- Texasville, AL R+56
- Glen Allan, MS R+26
- Fine, NY R+26
- Sago, WV R+67
- Kinloch, MO D+77
- Drybranch, WV R+57
- Delmita, TX R+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.