Newcomb leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Newcomb typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Newcomb, ~40% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Newcomb compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Newcomb leans more Democratic than 7 of 9 neighbors.
Newcomb runs about 29 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Newcomb. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+48) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Newcomb leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Newcomb, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 57% of adults in Newcomb have never been married, far above similar-sized cities (around 23%).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Newcomb, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Newcomb looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Newcomb is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 15 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 44% of adults in Newcomb report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Newcomb sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sheep Springs, NM D+32
- Two Grey Hills, NM D+32
- Toadlena, NM D+32
- Tocito, NM D+27
- Little Water, NM D+28
- Tohatchi, NM D+51
- White Rock, NM D+11
- Sanostee, NM D+26
- Navajo, NM D+50
- Wheatfields, AZ D+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Osage, WY R+71
- Beaver, OR R+28
- Valley Bend, WV R+68
- Tafton, PA R+33
- Pippa Passes, KY R+64
- Butte Des Morts, WI R+25
- Leakey, TX R+67
- Mainsville, PA R+58
- Lyons Falls, NY R+52
- Mackinaw City, MI R+20
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.